Posts Tagged ‘house prices’

There Is Trouble Ahead…..

July 19th, 2010

Doomsters Capital Economics made big headlines at the weekend with their forecast that house prices will crash more than 20% over the next two years as a result of Government spending cuts, tax rises and a surge in unemployment.

Capital Economics expects house prices to fall 5% this year and 10% in each of 2011 and 2012.

In total, the group predicts a collapse in house prices of 23% from the start of 2010, making it a steeper drop than the 19.3% crash during the recession.

Analysts have justified their outlook by monitoring the house price-to-earnings ratio which is still far above its 4% long-run average at 5.5%, and stressing that mortgage rates will only get more expensive.

So, the outlook looks doomly

However, they cautioned that the 2012 forecast “is highly uncertain”.

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First-time buyers see house prices rise by 3%

July 14th, 2010

First-time buyers may have noticed a slight recovery in the market, as figures just released show a three per cent rise in home values since the start of the year.

The Nationwide House Price Index shows the average UK property value rising 0.1 per cent last month, while the annual rate of home price inflation dropped from 9.8 per cent to 8.7 per cent.

Chief economist for the building society Martin Gahbauer said the figures showed “broad stability” in the market and noted the abolition of Home Information Packs was expected to increase the number of properties listed for sale.

The Royal Institute for Chartered Surveyors suggested the flatter price trend was the first indicator of an influx of sellers on the market and expects estate agent books to swell by around 15 per cent in the coming months.

Joint ownership could be one option for individuals keen to join the market ahead of further price rises, but struggling to raise a deposit.

Sales Nudge Up But Volumes Still Staying Very Low

July 14th, 2010

The climate of low house sale transactions is continuing, the Land Registry has reported. Separately, this morning Nationwide reported an influx of properties on to the market as a result of the abolition of HIPs, and said that prices in June went up by just 0.1%, to reach an average of £170,111.

With transaction figures not yet available for April, May and June, the average monthly transaction level for the period December to March was 50,658.

This is much less than half the levels of 2006 and early 2007, when average monthly transaction levels reached 120,000.

However, the levels are higher than for the same period a year ago when they dipped to 32,009.

Whilst the Land Registry insisted that transaction levels are recovering, its own graphs do not appear to suggest any such pronounced pattern.

The report also showed house prices dipped 0.2% in May from the month before. The average for England and Wales in May was £165,314 – in line with Halifax and Nationwide reports, but drastically out of line with asking prices listed on Rightmove.

Puzzling Discrepancies In Housing Figures

July 9th, 2010

Sales volumes up – prices down: that appears to be the story for June.

However, there are puzzling discrepancies in the two latest housing market reports.

According to the LSL Acadametrics house price index, housing market transactions soared 20% last month. They went from 52,975 in May to an estimated 63,500.

Way down on the long-term monthly average for June of 100,213 deals, the rise reverses the abnormally large drop in transactions during May.

Unlike Acadametrics, Halifax is silent on transaction levels, but hints that housing market activity has eased. It says that mortgage approvals in the three months to May were 3% lower than in the previous three months, “indicating a modest softening in housing market activity”.

Both Acadametrics, which produced its report for the first time in conjunction with LSL’s input, and Halifax yesterday were agreed in reporting falls in prices. Halifax said prices fell 0.5% in June and Acadametrics said they fell 0.6%.

Halifax has reported house price falls in four out of the last five months, with the pace of the decline increasing.

The Halifax figures show that prices are still 7.5% higher than their April 2009 low, and the average UK house price now stands at £166,203.

Acadametrics, which puts annual house price inflation at 7.7%, says house prices are in fact lower (by 5.9%) from peak, which it says was February 2008.

More concerning is the huge disparity in average house price. Halifax says it is around £166,203 whilst Acadametrics puts it at £218,000 – an unbelievable gap of £52,000.

So large is the discrepancy that, despite agreeing on other changes, the two indices once again call into question the reliability of such surveys, given the headlines they create and the rush of experts to comment.

Once again, it seems, we will have to await the Land Registry figures.

7 Great Tips On How To Sell Your Home

June 2nd, 2010

Follow these top tips on how to sell your home successfully in a buyer’s market.

Selling your home in a falling market may not always seem like the most financially astute decision, but what should you do if you have no choice?

Selling up when the housing market is slowing down is a challenge. But here are some of positive tips that can make the whole process as painless as possible.

So, take a look at my seven top tips for selling your home this year:

1. Get ready

First things first: Your property might get snapped up more quickly than you thought, so you don’t want the process held up because you’re not prepared yourself. If the sale drags on, you’re leaving yourself wide open to gazundering - when your buyer reduces their offer before the exchange of contracts takes place. (After all, they could argue house prices have fallen since they made their offer.)

So if you’re moving to a new home make sure you have your mortgage and finances arranged, and a solicitor at the ready as soon as you can.

Also make sure you have an energy performance certificate. You’ll need to give this to prospective buyers from day one. This is essential for all sellers in England and Wales.

2. Choose a good estate agent

Most sellers will ask three estate agents to value their property and then choose the one which quotes the highest price. But there’s more to it than that. Check out each agent’s track record on selling similar properties in your area. How successful are they? Find out how they plan to market your property too. Compare the fees for selling your property as they can vary a lot and check your happy with the terms of the contract.

Once you’ve chosen an agent, ask them for tips on anything you can do to make your property sell more quickly. Tap into their expert knowledge on the local market to give you the edge over other sellers.

You may be tempted to save money by selling without an agent, but the results could be disappointing. If you’re in no hurry, you could try going it alone for a while. If offers aren’t forthcoming you may need the help of the professionals.

3. Is the price right?

This is the most important thing to get right. If you set the price too high, you won’t attract any buyers. Simple as that. But if it’s priced correctly, it should sell.

So don’t just rely on one estate agent’s valuation. Get several, and do some research yourself using property search engines like rightmove.co.uk, findaproperty.com and particularly propertysnake.co.uk - which gives details of houses in your area which haven’t sold, due to unrealistic pricing.

You can also check the prices similar properties in your postcode have sold for using nethouseprices.com (it uses Land Registry data, but unlike the Land Registry, allows you to access it for free), and get a free online valuation from Zoopla. (You can also buy a more in-depth report from valuation firm Hometrack, but be aware it costs £19.95.)

4. Spruce up your home

It sounds pretty obvious but make sure the property is spotless before any viewing. It’s a really good idea to give your home the ‘house doctor’ treatment. You’d be amazed how many down-at-heel properties still appear on property websites.

Here are some very quick tips to give you some ideas on how to get your place spick and span:

  • Keep gardens, drives and paths tidy
  • Repair windows, repaint fences and the front door
  • De-clutter every room
  • Repaint in neutral colours
  • Get rid of old carpets, and think about wooden flooring
  • Use mirrors to make small rooms look bigger
  • Make sure lights, taps and everything else works, and make any necessary repairs
  • Replace doors on units to give the impression of a new kitchen/bathroom

5. Your sales pitch

If you’ve decided to show potential buyers around your home yourself, make sure you show it off in the best possible light. Viewings are your chance to brag about how great your home is, and don’t forget to mention all the plus points about the surrounding area.

Ask your estate agent what type of buyer is likely to be attracted to your property and pitch to them accordingly.

Don’t forget to get feedback from your agent following a viewing. This could give a valuable insight into why your property isn’t selling.

6. Negotiate

When you do get an offer, try to negotiate with the buyer if it’s too low. If you really are desperate to sell, you could offer to meet them halfway, and see where it gets you. And try to give them a good reason why you think the offer is unacceptable. For example, if local properties going at that price are obviously inferior to yours – they don’t have a garden, or a garage, or as many bedrooms – then you can demonstrate this easily.

Remember, facts are obviously a lot more convincing that emotional arguments.

In this market, it may be wise not to take the house off the market until you’ve exchanged contracts (although your buyer may insist that you do). This will help to prevent gazundering, and will put your buyer under pressure to speed up the purchase from their end.

7. Look at the alternatives

If all else fails and you’ve had no offers, or at least no decent offers, it’s time to rethink your position. Ask yourself whether you really need to sell. If you need more space, is it possible to extend your home? If you’re struggling with your mortgage, can you take in a lodger? If you need to relocate, perhaps you can rent your home out.

But at the end of the day, if you can’t explore any other option and you really do need to sell, there’s only one thing you can do: Reduce the price. Again, and again, and again. Eventually you will find a buyer – but bear in mind that the longer you wait, the bigger the reduction will have to be. Until, of course, the market recovers… but that could be a long, long time away.

Whatever you decide, I wish you the best of luck!

Stop Buyers From Gazundering You

June 2nd, 2010

House prices are falling and gazundering is coming back into fashion. If you’re selling your home, how can you ensure you get the price you wanted?

Gazundering: when a buyer reduces his/her original offer before exchange of contracts. The article looked at reasons and circumstances gazundering may occur, and stressed that, to be successful, buyers need to be able to justify their decision.

It proved to be a controversial article, sparking off a passionate debate on the ethics of gazundering — and, indeed, the morality of the article itself.

Many Fools questioned whether gazundering could ever be justified and criticised the article for “encouraging one of the more unsavoury practices in the housing market”.

Others praised the article for “telling it like it is”, arguing out that if, during the course of negotiating the purchase of a house, the value of the property dropped and they were forced to stick with the original offer, they would feel ripped off.

So Is Gazundering Ever Ethical?

Well, it’s certainly legal — at least in England and Wales.* Whatever your ethical stance, you’re allowed to both gazump and gazunder. It is up to the individual to decide whether their honour is worth more to them than the price they achieve for the property they are buying or selling.

Looking at ethics, I think most of us would agree it is underhanded and dishonest to go into a purchase planning to gazunder the seller once he or she has taken the property off the market and is in a weaker position.

But what about the buyer who finds his chosen property has fallen, perhaps significantly, in value since he made his original offer? Is that buyer as equally morally reprehensible as the buyer that planned to gazunder all along?

Is it right that these buyers should pay over the odds for a property that may well fall further in price?

Help For Homeowners

Personally, I could go on debating the ethics of gazundering till the cows come home (and since no cow can claim my home as their own, that may be some time).

If you are a homeowner, however, you may be more interested in what you can do to protect yourself from potential gazunderers — be they ethical or not. Alternatively, if you are currently in the process of selling your home and have just received a gazundered offer, you may need some advice about what to do next.

So, ethics aside, here’s some practical help for sellers.

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