Posts Tagged ‘halifax’

New Sellers Flood The Market As Buyers Struggle To Find Funds

July 19th, 2010

New sellers are now starting to outnumber new mortgage approvals by 5.2, Rightmove has announced.

The number of unsold  properties staying on agents’ books has jumped by almost 25% in the first six months of this year.

Rightmove – which has some 90% market share – reports that more than 30,000 new properties are coming to the market each week, up by 45% on last July. Asking prices for properties new to the market are, however, finally dropping.

Rightmove reports that over the last month, they have come down by 0.6% – the first fall this year. But with the average asking price now £236,332, there is still a huge gap between sellers’ expectations and the reality of mortgage-approved prices as reported by Halifax and Nationwide. Halifax is quoting £166,203 and Nationwide £170,111.

Rightmove is now forecasting more falls in asking prices as the year goes on. Commercial director Miles Shipside said: “The number of new mortgages being approved each month is less than half the number of new sellers, with the imbalance being exacerbated by the increase of nearly 50% in the number of properties coming to the market compared to a year ago. “More aggressive pricing is now the order of the day.” He went on: “Estate agents are suffering from podgy portfolios and buyers’ fitness to purchase is in correspondingly poor shape. With agents beginning to choke on a surfeit of new stock, sellers are going to have to price at bargain levels.

He warned: “The tradition of testing the water at a higher figure before reducing at a later date will backfire in areas of excess supply, as over-ambitious sellers will have to cut back even more as they chase prices downwards.”

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Sales Nudge Up But Volumes Still Staying Very Low

July 14th, 2010

The climate of low house sale transactions is continuing, the Land Registry has reported. Separately, this morning Nationwide reported an influx of properties on to the market as a result of the abolition of HIPs, and said that prices in June went up by just 0.1%, to reach an average of £170,111.

With transaction figures not yet available for April, May and June, the average monthly transaction level for the period December to March was 50,658.

This is much less than half the levels of 2006 and early 2007, when average monthly transaction levels reached 120,000.

However, the levels are higher than for the same period a year ago when they dipped to 32,009.

Whilst the Land Registry insisted that transaction levels are recovering, its own graphs do not appear to suggest any such pronounced pattern.

The report also showed house prices dipped 0.2% in May from the month before. The average for England and Wales in May was £165,314 – in line with Halifax and Nationwide reports, but drastically out of line with asking prices listed on Rightmove.

Puzzling Discrepancies In Housing Figures

July 9th, 2010

Sales volumes up – prices down: that appears to be the story for June.

However, there are puzzling discrepancies in the two latest housing market reports.

According to the LSL Acadametrics house price index, housing market transactions soared 20% last month. They went from 52,975 in May to an estimated 63,500.

Way down on the long-term monthly average for June of 100,213 deals, the rise reverses the abnormally large drop in transactions during May.

Unlike Acadametrics, Halifax is silent on transaction levels, but hints that housing market activity has eased. It says that mortgage approvals in the three months to May were 3% lower than in the previous three months, “indicating a modest softening in housing market activity”.

Both Acadametrics, which produced its report for the first time in conjunction with LSL’s input, and Halifax yesterday were agreed in reporting falls in prices. Halifax said prices fell 0.5% in June and Acadametrics said they fell 0.6%.

Halifax has reported house price falls in four out of the last five months, with the pace of the decline increasing.

The Halifax figures show that prices are still 7.5% higher than their April 2009 low, and the average UK house price now stands at £166,203.

Acadametrics, which puts annual house price inflation at 7.7%, says house prices are in fact lower (by 5.9%) from peak, which it says was February 2008.

More concerning is the huge disparity in average house price. Halifax says it is around £166,203 whilst Acadametrics puts it at £218,000 – an unbelievable gap of £52,000.

So large is the discrepancy that, despite agreeing on other changes, the two indices once again call into question the reliability of such surveys, given the headlines they create and the rush of experts to comment.

Once again, it seems, we will have to await the Land Registry figures.

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